Max wind 15.5 mph,
Temperature is 19.2°F and steady;
Humidity is 90% and steady;
Pressure is 29.15" Hg and falling;
Snow depth is 5.5".
(About ten minutes later we had gusts of up to 42 mph.)
Max wind 15.5 mph,
Temperature is 19.2°F and steady;
Humidity is 90% and steady;
Pressure is 29.15" Hg and falling;
Snow depth is 5.5".
(About ten minutes later we had gusts of up to 42 mph.)
Temperature is 21°F and steady;
Humidity is 80% and steady;
Pressure is 29.29" Hg and falling;
Wind gusting to 27.5 mph;
Snow depth is 2"; and
Fire Danger is Wicked None!
1.25" +/- of snow;
17 mph max gusts;
22.1°F and steady;
77% humidity and steady;
29.38" Hg pressure and falling;
USFS fire danger is none.
Funny, but not much new depth this past hour.
22.5°F and steady;
76% humidity and steady;
29.41" of Hg pressure and falling;
Wind gusting to 15.5mph.
1.25" of snow.
Fire danger is NONE.
Still have hikers passing through!
Wind occasional up to 8.0 mph;
Temperature at 23.2°F and steady;
Humidity at 74% and steady;
Pressure at 29.50" Hg and falling;
Forest fire danger is NONE;
Snow depth is 1 1/16".
Yes, we had a request for Fire Danger.
The first flakes are falling!
25.5°F and steady;
70% humidity and steady;
29.71"pressure and steady;
Wind between 3-6mph.
4:06pm weather conditions at the Lodge:
Cascades Brook is at 2.6" of flow;
The temperature is 29.1°F and falling;
The humidity is 69% and rising;
The pressure is 29.74" of Hg and falling;
The fire danger is NONE;
The wind speed is gusting to 22.0 mph;
The snow is falling and sticking on stones and pavement as well as grass and leaves.
It is falling fast enough to have a real chance at carpeting everything by sundown!
7:25am report:
The Cascades Brook is holding steady at 2.4";
The sun is out and shining brightly;
There is a light occasional breeze, but it peaks at 4-4.5mph;
The temperature is 38.3°F and rising;
The humidity is 72% and steady;
The pressure is 29.74" Hg and steady;
The USFS Fire Danger Class remains MODERATE.
There is a chunk of a pine tree down across the Silver Spring Road running through the Cascades.
11:00am Weather Observations
The Cascades Brook is running at 2.4" in both channels. Perhaps more interestingly, closer examination in full sun and a little time shows a number of trees, some already deceased, blew over when we had wet soils and strong winds. Nothing blocked the trail or the cart path so they did not yell out for immediate attention. It is fun to watch the stream and its banks over the years to see how very dynamic and changing this area is without any outside intervention.
The USFS fire danger class is back up to MODERATE. The lack of rainfall, fresh fallen leaves and wind bring that about.
Temperature 49.5°F and rising;
Humidity 51% and falling;
Pressure 29.65" and steady;
Sunny skies;
No recorded precipitation;
Wind gusting to 7.0mph.
22 mph max, 5 mph min from a two minute sample; (we have been seeing peak gusts of 34 mph though)
1.3" of rainfall from the storm thus far;
4.0" in the Cascades Brook;
29.09" of Hg pressure and falling;
59.7°F and steady;
98% humidity and steady.
We lost power for less than a minute and had a flicker earlier in the day.
Highest wind gust we noted was 55 mph around lunchtime.
Interestingly, the loudest wind is not the fastest.
Minor branches down at Cascading Waters and a tree across the Cascades Cart Path just north of the falls.
9:30 am Sandy Update
Cascades Brook is up to 2.0";
Total storm rainfall is up to 0.25";
Temperature is 54°F;
Humidity is 98%;
Barometric pressure is 29.44" Hg and falling;
Wind gusting to 18 mph, with a minimum speed in a 2 min. sample.
Max wind gust 24.5mph, settling to 0mph;
Temperature is 49.5F and steady;
Humidity is 97% and steady;
Barometric pressure is 29.74"Hg and steady;
But not much beyond some mist thus far.
Cascades Brook still at 1.6";
Precipitation at 1/16";
Peak wind 8.5mph and lowest at 3.0mph in a 60 second sample;
Temperature at 50.4F and steady;
Humidity at 96% and steady;
Barometric pressure at 29.74" (further down) but steady for the moment.
Our next door neighbor is out watering his freshly planted trees by lights, and while I understand, it is still funny under the circumstances.
The Cascades Brook is running again after all of the rain of the past half week. Our last envoy to the stream gauge said it was hovering around 2".
The fire danger had been suppressed by all of the rain and is LOW.
The soil is less dust and more dirt and the chirping insects are vociferous at night.
Saturday saw over 2" of rainfall, a large amount by any standard.
But it is what happens because of the rain that is most interesting!
The Cascades Brook was up to 7.2" of flow with both channels open and a lot of noise. Less than 48 hours later the brook is down to 3.6" and while both channels have water things are sedate.
In the glen in front of the Lodge the Hawthorne trees are leaning over as they are thin and young and all of the leaves are weighted with rain drops.
At Nick's Woods a big old tree, encouraged by the wet soils loosening their grip on the roots, began a long slow arc towards the ground that continues to proceed with each day. (The area around it was dutifully marked off with flagging CAUTION tape by a volunteer. Thanks!)
And the plants are all green and growing with enthusiasm! It may be a confused time for outdoor recreation with the ever present chance of passing showers but the woods are soaking it up and thriving.
And more rain is predicted...
...we have a growing number of these little guys (can you see him? In the center on the rock?) right around the Lodge lately. They seem to be living in the rock pile, though they frequently chase each other around and right under the house.
We are finally back down to a more normal "LOW" fire danger level today!
At nine am, it is 44.2 degrees and steady.
61% humidity and steady.
The barometer is 28.67 and steady under overcast skies.
Light wind of 3 mph
There is a high pollen alert issued for today (though I suspect that will not be news to some of you!).
We will post the rise of the brook with the falling rain as we are able.
This specific post will be periodically updated.
1:00 pm 4/22/2012 RAINFALL: 0.28" BROOK LEVEL: 1.88"
6:00 pm 4/22/2012 RAINFALL: 0.50" BROOK LEVEL: 3.36"
8:30 pm 4/22/2012 RAINFALL: 0.60" BROOK LEVEL: 3.84"
2:00 am 4/23/2012 RAINFALL: 1.08" BROOK LEVEL: 7.20"
6:00 am 4/23/2012 RAINFALL: 1.50" BROOK LEVEL: 7.80"
8:00 am 4/23/2012 RAINFALL: 1.61" BROOK LEVEL: 9.36"
Current conditions as of 2:00am:
Temperature: 40.6 degrees F and steady
Humidity: 97% and steady
Pressure: 28.73" and steady
5mph breeze - 23mph wind
Raining steadily
Already over 0.28" of rain have been recorded here at the Lodge and according to the weather forecast we haven't even begun to see the rain headed our way tonight!
2-3" of rain, with a little more tomorrow. Some chance of limited convection allowing local instances of up to 4".
Let me put this in perspective for you. When you build a parking lot or a subdivision and need to design the drainage system, you are required to design to handle a major rain event of 1" in a short stretch. Welcome to the new universe! Multiply that bad boy by 2x or 3x or more! In other words we are talking a rainstorm that many areas were simply never designed to handle.
Want to know a spooky secret? This isn't unusual anymore campers. The number of times the Worcester DPW needed to use flood diversion once was fairly rare. Now they do it at least annually. The guys who manage the pipes for us already know our world operates differently whether or not the regulations have caught up with that reality or the public has yet to grasp fully our new situation.
Want to know something else spooky? Many years ago I sat at a conference on the local impacts of climate change and someone asked what we ought to expect to see. The answer was more extremes. More long dry periods broken up by heavier flooding than used to be the case. Time is the ultimate validator of theory and I will say that our time here at the Lodge certainly gives credence to those ideas. More so the flooding until recent. Now both halves of the theory can be argued to be in play.
Since a baseline is useful in measuring impacts know that as of 1 pm the Cascades Brook was flowing at 1.88". Let's see how high that gets! Buckle in!
UPDATE: 6:00pm Cascades Brook depth is 3.36", up from 1.88" at 1:00pm
I had the luxury of hiking this morning without a trash bag, or clippers, or paint brush, or camera. A rare treat!
Up Cascades Trail, Meadow Ridge Trail, River Trail, Mower Cart Path to Rte. 122 at Camp Street. Then River Trail, Silver Spring Trail, to Cascades Trail back to the Lodge.
A warm dry wind blew through the forest. That is great for keeping you cool and dry but keeps the fire danger level up at VERY HIGH.
At 11:30am the temperature was 77 degrees, which is part of our warm and dry pattern.
The trail is not soil but dust. Where normally would be boggy it is soil. Amazingly the streams still trickle away and have not dried up. While distressed a bit the main vernal pools still have water.
The weather promises rain starting this weekend. We have heard these things before and we don't always see them borne out. We will wait and see.
Last night, lying under the angle of the roof in the Lodge I heard the most wonderful and welcome sound,
rain.
In over ten days here at the Lodge we have not had enough rain to be recordable. We have seen "red flag" fire danger warnings. We have watched area open spaces have brush fires. We have even see one of our invasive exotic ground covers turn yellow for lack of water!
And then there was rain! Audible, sustained, and badly needed.
It is not enough to remove fire danger, to refill the reservoirs, or to significantly impact the brooks, but it is enough to be a real help to the forest's spring plant life. Expect vivid greens in the understory today on your hike.
Conditions as of 9:45 am:
49.5° F and steady;
55% humidity and falling;
29.18" of Hg pressure and rising;
0.04" of rainfall recorded;
Light occasional breeze;
Broken clouds with sun.
It has been busy!
Today alone:
Jacob of the Dynamy program was here finishing the waterproofing of the tent platform,
Before heading out to Cooks Woods and Kinneywoods to measure trail distances,
And Dan swung by to grab 3 oak planks to rip them for trail signs, and
I was loading up gear from the shed to do boundline posting at Southwick Pond.
Another day without rain.
Good for drying stained wood, bad for plants.
And the Cascades Brook is getting low.
We are posting a HIGH fire danger today. The rain, what there was of it, is moving out. The winds and sun will dry us right back out again
So, it has sprinkled rain Saturday, then it snowed a little. Yesterday it rained overnight, enough to get recorded! The fire danger sank to LOW.
But today is a new day. A day with sun and a breeze, and while 0.12" of rain is more than we have seen in quite a while, the parched earth and plants, the thirsty wind, and the sun are a strong combination.
The USFS fire danger, which tends towards the conservative, is back up to HIGH for today. Usually that means that tomorrow they will give us the actual observed class and it may likely have been VERY HIGH.
Be thoughtful out there please.
7:30 am Conditions at the Lodge:
38.1°F and steady;
84% humidity and steady;
28.85" of Hg pressure and steady;
0.12" of rain recorded overnight;
Steady 3.5mph breeze with some variation;
Overcast but offering signs of breaking up.
So, in the parlance of safety, a red flag generally isn't a good and happy sign (unless you are a surfer at North Hampton Beach, in which case it rocks!)
For us it means "Critical Fire Danger."
The weeks without real rainfall, the sun and warmth, and the winds have dedicated the surface duff, leaves and brush, such that any fire, should it start would spread quickly and be hard to contain.
Interestingly, the Fire Danger rating scale is only at the HIGH or VERY HIGH level. It can co higher to EXTREME! Extreme is usually used where a fire is in progress in the area.
At the Lodge right now we have it posted for VERY HIGH.
No fires. No cigarettes. Careful with gas power tools.
The hard deep freeze of last night beat up the magnolia pretty bad with all of its flowers brown and wilted.
The daffodils did allright, as did the hyacinths, blood wort , and bulbs.
Enjoy the weather, even if chilly, because... tomorrow may rain, so today I'll follow the sun.
This past week there was a brush fire at Crow Hill, a roughly 35 acre area.
Now, the reason it got State money for preservation was that it is a habitat called Black oak Savannah.
Black oak Savannah requires fire to continue to persist. It is called "pyrophytic" or fire-loving and is characterized by open low growth, like grasses and blueberry bushes with an overstory of oak trees. Fast burning ground fires burn any poplar or birch or pine trying to join the party and the blueberry make opportunity of the full sun and ash chemical mix added to the soil.
This is what used to be much more prevalent as the landscape in Worcester.
We were starting to see this situation slip away at Crow Savannah with the undergrowth getting thick and threatening to dominate the site. We were beginning to have a conversation about mechanically, and laboriously, needing to cut it back.
And then, one hot dry spring, helped or not, Mother Nature took over and she did her thing!
The paper estimated 4ac. burned.
Yesterday, the Trust's Americorps Dude went out with the Dynamy intern and a GPS.
Make that more like 10 acres!
We will have a final number next week.
This is truly exciting!
To identify a natural system, to speak of it, study it, to lead walks on it, to preserve a piece of it is all great. BUT to see it jump to life and actively transform itself like a caterpillar to a pupae, to a butterfly... a butterfly big enough to see on aerial photos! Is quite amazing.
Way to go Crow Hill Savannah!
As Crow Hill reminded us yesterday, it is drying out! We've posted a (very rare) HIGH fire danger for today.
The Worcester Fire Department would also like to remind us that yard waste burning is not permitted in city limits.
I ought to be more worried for larger climactic changes, but I can not help but enjoy today!
Peak wind as of 9:15 - 9:17 is 31.5mph!
Skies are blue;
The sun is full;
The temperature is 31.6° F and rising;
The humidity is 48% and falling;
The pressure is 29.62" of Hg and steady;
No prior measured rainfall.
This past week there has been a crew of really amazing Clark students at Cascading Waters whipping up a storm of activity! They have been:
* stenciling, routing, painting, and sanding signs!
* cutting and moving brush!
* hewing timber!
* building stone wall! &
* raking out chip in the parking area!
Their generous gift of their break has left Cascading Waters looking truly fresh and ready for spring.
This whirlwind of action is what is most heartening about today's students. They really do see the nature we live in as important and they give of themselves.
Thank you guys!
Come and see their work!
Yesterday's drizzle and melt froze solid overnight creating an interesting footing with a cereal 'crunch' to it.
8:00 am conditions at the Lodge:
Overcast skies;
The anemometer is covered in snow and ice so it is out of commission but there appears to be stillness with no wind;
31.3° F and rising quickly;
87% humidity and steady (very damp!);
28.85" of Hg pressure and steady;
The rain gauge has a reading but what is drizzle from yesterday and what is melt is unknown;
The fire danger is NONE.
Also check out conditions on the East Side Trail